Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.399021 0.512210 0.634664 0.775291 0.930786 1.096113 1.283900
2025-09-21 0.220551 0.363987 0.537097 0.752681 1.006764 1.290841 1.627174
2025-09-28 0.158883 0.318028 0.525318 0.796442 1.127310 1.506742 1.964900
2025-10-05 0.119451 0.289347 0.526560 0.849550 1.254370 1.727294 2.306325
2025-10-12 0.087817 0.261717 0.521975 0.889509 1.360818 1.919909 2.612124
2025-10-19 0.070439 0.251490 0.537993 0.953637 1.495310 2.144643 2.954639
2025-10-26 0.053398 0.236055 0.543206 1.001094 1.607246 2.341138 3.263050
2025-11-02 0.033654 0.206675 0.522971 1.010865 1.669022 2.475227 3.496191
2025-11-09 0.012410 0.156553 0.461856 0.958088 1.645964 2.502415 3.599060
2025-11-16 0.001590 0.111556 0.399362 0.896714 1.606811 2.506074 3.670544
2025-11-23 NaN 0.086705 0.367267 0.876628 1.620140 2.573346 3.817504
2025-11-30 NaN 0.074419 0.357410 0.889282 1.677157 2.695300 4.030969
2025-12-07 NaN 0.057491 0.334674 0.882116 1.709428 2.789872 4.216707
2025-12-14 NaN 0.040238 0.304948 0.861071 1.721270 2.858131 4.370579
2025-12-21 NaN 0.038387 0.315239 0.907118 1.828379 3.049778 4.677826
2025-12-28 NaN 0.038724 0.331841 0.964176 1.951546 3.262678 5.012030
2026-01-04 NaN 0.036533 0.340243 1.006788 2.053812 3.448284 5.312186
2026-01-11 NaN 0.038937 0.363229 1.075181 2.193658 3.683379 5.674662
2026-01-18 NaN 0.038241 0.376087 1.125688 2.307580 3.884574 5.994791
2026-01-25 NaN 0.031301 0.366681 1.136080 2.362757 4.008417 6.217735
2026-02-01 NaN 0.017037 0.322113 1.079917 2.318473 3.999846 6.273060
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006546 0.275488 1.014492 2.257213 3.966499 6.295234
2026-02-15 NaN 0.002660 0.253226 0.993051 2.260338 4.017842 6.423664